According to initial reports 101 people have been injured and two
killed in the Guinean capital Conakry since 26 May when military
officers demanding pay-offs from the government started rioting at
three military camps across the city and then entered a four day
stand-off with the loyalist presidential guard.
Guinea is
widely viewed by analysts as a politically and military unstable threat
to a region of Africa which is otherwise moving towards better
governance and stability.
Many observers are concerned the
current situation, which has disrupted the city but not resulted in
major casualties, could lead to a dangerous power vacuum if the army
splits into factions and overthrows the country’s aging and secretive
President Lansana Conté.
“It is a volatile situation and we do not know where it’s going to go,” said a western diplomat.
“There
have not been many casualties, so we think they were mainly firing in
the air, but it is still cause for concern,” the diplomat added.
Claims
The
mutinous soldiers claim they were promised back-pay by ex-prime
minister Lansana Kouyaté, who was sacked by Conté on 20 May. The
soldiers have also demanded that the defence minister, Bailo Diallo, be
sacked.
Reuters reported on 29 May that Guinea’s new prime
minister Ahmed Tidiane Souaré, a former Conté aide who replaced Kouyaté
on 21 May, granted their demands for US$1,370 each in wage arrears, and
that the government had made the first payment. Reuters also reported
that Soare agreed to sack defence minister Diallo.
But some military officers have issued a further demand that all military leaders from the army, navy and air force be sacked.
About
100 soldiers from the presidential guard are manning the entrance to
the city centre and people have started emerging from their houses
where some have been hiding for five days, an IRIN correspondent in
Conakry confirmed.
Demands unclear
Diplomats
and residents who hunkered down to avoid being caught up in the
violence say it is unclear who or what sparked the uprising, and
whether it was linked to the surprise appointment of Soare.
“You
never know what’s going to happen in Guinea. It is never clear what
direction these things will take,” said a foreign resident.
The
sacking of Kouyaté had initially sparked speculation as to whether
city-dwellers would once again take to the streets in protest at the
prime minister who was appointed to appease their anger over poor
infrastructure and public services. In 2006 and 2007 civilian protests
over the cost of living led to a military crackdown leading to
approximately 130 deaths.
But apart from some small
disturbances, the latest political upheaval was ignored by most people.
The unions which led the riots in 2006 and 2007 have issued watered
down statements since Kouyaté’s dismissal.
However Guinea’s main teachers union announced on 29 May it could launch a strike action to protest the lack of progress on its demands to the consensus government put in place in March 2007.
The
army has long demanded pay of its back salaries. Military personnel
looted Conakry and other garrison towns across the country in May 2007
demanding pay, and forcing the then defence minister Arafan Camara out
of office.
In a statement broadcast on 29 May 2008 army chief
of staff General Diarra Camara called on the military to “restrain
itself”. He said negotiations between military leaders and President
Conté are underway to find a solution to the crisis.
Many
Guineans said they would not support strikes or the military’s
violence, even though many agree Conté should end his 24 year rule. “If
the military wants to get rid of President Conté they can do it, but
they shouldn’t involve us and they should do it without violence,” said
one Conakry resident.
Aid agencies laying low
Aid
agencies have reduced their operations to a minimum as they “watch and
wait” to see the outcome of the ongoing military dispute in the
capital.
“We are monitoring how the situation progresses, and
have advised all of our staff to be extra cautious and stay at home for
the past few days,” said the United Nations resident representative
Gasarabwe Mbaranga.
“We already have tight security levels in place in the city and have not changed them,” she said.
Frank
Bossant, head of non-governmental organisation Médecins sans Frontières
(MSF) in Conakry, said: “We are reducing our daily activities to
essential services and are minimising staff movements to keep people
secure”.
Medical staff from MSF are touring the city’s
hospitals with medicines and equipment to help hospital staff treat the
wounded and are looking for a solution to guarantee the HIV/AIDS
patients it treats receive ongoing drugs despite restricted staff
movements.
Members of a crisis team made up of the UN,
non-governmental organisations (NGO) and local government staff met on
30 May to coordinate their response to the unrest.